Nate Silver

@lingyun93

Founder, EIC @FiveThirtyEight. Author, The Signal and the Noise (https://t.co/v6tgsFf8gD). Sports/politics/food geek. Not a virologist.

156 Posts

1 Replies

239 Following

288 Followers

155 Mirrors

Our new POLLSTER RATINGS are out and two big headlines. 1) Polls had their most accurate cycle ever* in the years covered by our comprehensive long-term database. *…

attachment

0 Comments

1 Likes

0 Mirrors

Here they are, Heston Blumenthal’s Triple Cooked Chips, I can vouch, amazing https://t.co/IJpGAESs1c https://t.co/9bUMrUoT63

attachment

0 Comments

0 Likes

16 Mirrors

José Manuel Simons

Me levanté temprano, medité, tomé desayuno, trabajé, almorcé, me di una ducha y con una renovada energía de confianza y seguridad, bajé al centro.

0 Comments

5 Likes

26 Mirrors

It's been a big problem throughout COVID, starting with "noble lies" in March 2020 about not wearing masks. The media & public health officials oversimplify, spin, or try to affect…

0 Comments

1 Likes

0 Mirrors

Carolanne ♥️

今天还是忍不住想继续玩，于是就给它填了色。我知道这个配色可能不是很好。 https://t.co/ClHqsciiFz

attachment

0 Comments

2 Likes

10 Mirrors

Well, yeah, but I'm also interested in public opinion. And I'm interested in the media. And I think it's interesting that trying to suppress discussion of a theory that was…

0 Comments

1 Likes

0 Mirrors

Por fin viernes, besos y sonrisas a repartir 💋 💕 ❤️ 🩷 🧡 💋 https://t.co/nvR8PRcrlv

attachment

3 Comments

4 Likes

37 Mirrors

Genevieve Boiko

🇨🇳 #China Pumps $25 Billion in Funds to Banks While Keeping Key Rate on Hold - Bloomberg https://t.co/pA4ObZY4Sp https://t.co/K6Ll7QHVEg

attachment

0 Comments

1 Likes

4 Mirrors

Whether or not the public is right about the lab leak, IDK, but I generally think people in media underestimate the sophistication of the public. How they get from what…

0 Comments

1 Likes

0 Mirrors

I can’t wait to have a baby girl one day

0 Comments

1 Likes

4 Mirrors

https://t.co/QpA8gJJZ59

attachment

0 Comments

0 Likes

6 Mirrors

Most people's natural instinct if a claim seems plausible on the surface but the media wants to suppress discussion of it is going to be to believe that the claim…

0 Comments

2 Likes

0 Mirrors

购摊位。这么多人抢摊位，该怎么分配有限的摊位呢？政府有的是办法，摇号解决。很快摊位费就被炒起来了。政府给摇到号的商户还是约定价，但这些商户随便一转手就是五六七八万，所以在百分之五的概率下，能摇到号的都不是普通人。当工商局集到所有盖楼款后，也对外宣布所有摊位已全部出租时，其实手上

0 Comments

1 Likes

2 Mirrors

City Night View Stunning footage of urban cityscape at night. Bright lights, glowing skyscrapers, and bustling streets create a vibrant and bustling atmosphere. Experience the energy and excitement of the city…

attachment

0 Comments

1 Likes

0 Collects

0 Mirrors

As a bit of a compliment to our on analysis, here's an independent evaluation of 538 midterm forecasts vs. prediction markets. Prediction markets got more caught up in the red…

0 Comments

1 Likes

0 Mirrors

José Manuel Simons

City Night View Footage Stunning footage of beautiful city night view. This video captures the bright lights and the serene atmosphere of a city at night, with towering skyscrapers, illuminating roads,…

attachment

0 Comments

9 Likes

0 Collects

20 Mirrors

Caminante ♏ 😜

There're a few app updates https://t.co/4gm01w4eL7

attachment

0 Comments

1 Likes

1 Mirrors

Jim Boeheim is a whiny, thin-skinned, under-performing fraud. His first move in retirement is firing someone critical of Syracuse hoops. Pathetic.

0 Comments

1 Likes

11 Mirrors

It's hard to overstate how bad it would have been in terms of undermining trust in the media and in data science, and how much fuel it would have given…

0 Comments

1 Likes

0 Mirrors

Conscious Millionaire

Discover how AI will expand your conscious and mental capacities as a 6 to 8-figure entrepreneur. More on today's CM Podcast! Listen https://t.co/0BPyR3JJ8M podcast ai crypto

0 Comments

1 Likes

5 Mirrors

🚨Pepe Coin, Surges 1,000,000% in Just Five Days https://t.co/dy81Y50Snc

0 Comments

3 Likes

5 Mirrors

It's also notable that the New York Times *rejected* the AP/Fox call for Biden in Arizona, even though the Times usually defaults to AP calls. Funnily enough, this was not…

0 Comments

0 Likes

0 Mirrors

I guess I just find this issue fascinating, because you have the "trust the experts" crowd scolding Baier, but if you talk to the experts in this field, I'd expect…

0 Comments

1 Likes

0 Mirrors

June d'Arville | Food & Travel Blogger

❤️ 𝐌𝐚𝐜𝐤𝐞𝐫𝐞𝐥 𝐑𝐢𝐥𝐥𝐞𝐭𝐭𝐞𝐬 ❤️ These little #appetizers are so easy to make! Creamy mackerel rillettes on cucumber slices, the perfect finger food! #light #healthy ❤️ 𝐑𝐞𝐜𝐢𝐩𝐞 >> https://t.co/YxNcVz5NFK …

attachment

0 Comments

1 Likes

1 Mirrors

Mishkin said in this clip he expected most of the outstanding vote in AZ to go to Biden, meaning that Biden would *expand* on his 7-point lead. Instead, it went…

0 Comments

0 Likes

1 Mirrors

🍩 Donut Girl 🍩

Good Tuesday morning! It’s time to make the Donuts! ☕️🍩 https://t.co/lcdppK8CoH

attachment

0 Comments

6 Likes

37 Mirrors

The Arizona call *was* *extremely* premature, though. There's a reason no other network made the same call for *days* afterward.

0 Comments

1 Likes

0 Mirrors

Jen Ruiz | Travel Content Creator

Love getting comments like these! 🥰 https://t.co/0BXi50BkPS

attachment

0 Comments

2 Likes

28 Mirrors

People #OnHere would benefit from understanding which ideas are popular and which aren't. "There's a backlash against changing cultural norms!" is obviously true on some level, but some of the…

0 Comments

4 Likes

4 Mirrors

Pitcher List's official Top 300 Overall Fantasy Baseball Players! We've combined our official site rankings with Top 300 lists submitted by members of our staff to create a consensus…

0 Comments

3 Likes

3 Mirrors