9999899 (@9999899) • Hey
A smooth sea never made a skillful mariner
Publications
- 币圈亏钱的原因,你知道多少?
1、短线思维严重 这里说的是短线思维,而不是真正的做短线或者做波段;简单说就是我们应当把目光放的长远一点,大家讨论的看到的都是今天涨了多少、明天跌了多少···而不是半年、一年后这个币该如何?大家可以看看目前币圈那些实现财务自由的所谓“大神”有哪个是三五天就赚钱的,都是靠着时间来熬; 当然,不是说短期的涨跌咱们就完全不管了,一味的死拿、一味的佛系持币。而是要合理分配好仓位,长期为主、中短期为辅,有看得准的短期趋势变化也要跟着走
2、追涨杀跌 追涨杀跌几乎是每个币圈投资者都会犯的错误,看到某个币大涨、全世界都在讨论这个币,跟风买进去,买完被套之后亏损10%、20%的时候舍不得割肉,死拿等解套那一天。等到继续下跌、亏损50%甚至60%、70%的时候,又觉得这个币不行,直接割肉割到地板上;然后一次次重复该步骤 老实说,追涨杀跌这个问题真没有什么太好的解决办法,只能靠着交学费,一直到学费交足了、被割疼了才会长记性,慢慢改掉这个习惯。
3、认知不足 很多人在投资之前根本不经过大脑思考、别人说什么就是什么。今天某大V说这个币好,立马就买!明天XX小道消息说那个币会涨,也跟着买···至于这个币好在哪里、那个币又为什么会涨自己完全不知道;别人在通过自己的认知炒币,你却在跟着他的认知炒币 这种不过大脑的投资方式不亏钱才没有天理,我们在投资时可以将别人的认知作为参考,但在这之前必须建立自己的认知; 比特币价格暴跌的3个主要原因 比特币近日暴跌,有分析师指出了三个可能引发这情况的原因。 比特币近日跌势不止,在最近 8 天内下跌了超过 21%,并已失去了 $7400 美元的关键支撑,甚至一度危险地接近跌穿 $
4、内心太浮躁 浮躁似乎已经成了币圈的常态,很多人进入这个市场都是抱着一夜暴富的心态来的,却没有做好一朝归零的准备,更没有能够一夜暴富的能力!买了一个币,就希望买完它就涨、三天翻倍、半月翻10倍···如果买的币半个月不涨、甚至出现亏损,那就开始各种给自己找理由,再去各种骂娘,骂项目方不做市值管理、骂狗庄砸盘、怪大V预测不准··· 我从来没有见过哪个投资市场有币圈这么浮躁的,之所以币圈大多数的心态都太过浮躁,是因为他们看过币圈太多一夜暴富的故事,而且身边几乎每个时间段都有十倍币、百倍币诞生,潜意识里把币圈当成了100%稳赢的赌场,认为只要我去买币就能赚钱,而没有把它看做一个真正的金融市场,嗜血才是金融市场的本质
5、不学习 之前有媒体做过一个关于投资者对数字货币了解的统计,在随时抽取的778名数字资产投资者中,能够快速准确地描述“比特币大概是什么?”的不到 10%,能够准确说清楚“区块链技术是什么?”的只有17个人; 这个数据的统计面虽然很小,但也足够可以说明目前币圈整体投资者的状况了。连自己投资的东西是什么都搞不清楚又哪里来的信仰?没有信仰价格再低的筹码、再好的币种你又如何能拿的住? 学习是永恒不变的财富,只有不断的学习才能避免被收割 6、不具备投资健全的理念 大多数人投资前都没有完善的投资计划,完全是跟着感觉走,这种全拼直觉的投资方式一旦遇到你意料之外的情况发生亏钱肯定是大概率的。只有投资之前做好相应的投资计划,比如:买入几个币种?何时买入?各自怎么分配仓位?买入后亏损是止损还是补仓?盈利后是分批减仓还是继续持有?···· 只有总结出一套适合自己的投资策略我们才能应对各种情况发生,不论是涨还是跌都能平静对待,这样起码能让自己的心态立于不败之地,避免心态影响作出错误的选择。
- step1:暂停加息
step2:继续缩表
step3:抛售美债
step4:美债利率翻正
step5:美元需求增加
step6:风险资产集体暴涨
- 最近小伙伴最关心的一个问题就是上海升级后,以太坊还会不会继续抛压,那作者今天就结合一下市场说一下我的看法:
首先,大家最关心的就是抛压问题。根据Tripoli研究显示,用累积奖励除以验证者数量,计算得出拥有 Lido 0×01 证书的验证者平均累积了 1.23 ETH 的奖励,截至 2023 年 2 月 4 日,具有 0×00 凭证的验证者平均拥有 2.47 ETH 的奖励(可以通过部分提款来提取),而表现最好的验证者获得了 4.9 ETH 的基本奖励。在最极端的情况下,第一天应该会看到大约 110, 000 ETH 的部分提款(不包括 Lido 0×01 验证者),这个数字与那些天真的模型形成鲜明对比,后者预测第一天可能会看到超过 400, 000 ETH 的部分提取。考虑到非 Lido 验证者包含大多数中心化机构和流动性质押衍生品,可以合理地期望这些验证者只出售部分奖励。这么看来,自主选择的部分提款似乎不太可能导致市场发生灾难性事件。自动部分提款的决定可能会通过不打算出售的验证者堵塞队列来减小最初的抛售压力。另外,全额提款的流程保持不变,但提款开始时平衡的流失限制商数可能是 8 ,这表明每天可以通过全额提款提取 57, 600 ETH。
这也就意味着,上海升级之后,ETH短暂抛压不可避免,但ETH的抛压量并没有市场之前预测的那么大,表现在价格上可能会短暂出现下跌,但下跌幅度预计相对有限。
**讲一下行情:**
**昨天开始市场开启了普涨行情**
基本各个板块都有上涨,牛市就是这样,资金外溢就随便冲了,很多时候没有太大的逻辑,牛市不要谈基本面,谈FOMO就行,但需要注意的是对于山寨B种,一定注意仓位和目标位控制,以防被套。**接下来的行情继续普涨哈,没啥可说的,反弹牛才开始,暂时看到五月,后续有变化再更新。**
**ETH相关概念**
ETH上海升级之后没有盘整直接开拉,的确有点超预期。但ETH开拉之后,其实有很多机会可以把握:如L2概念,这也是为什么今天ARB(尤其是ARB,新币)、OP涨幅不错的原因;如LSD板块的RPL和LDO;如ARB生态的MAGIC、GNS。**所以炒B一定不要孤立的去看待一个B种,一定要具备板块思维和生态思维,这是这篇文章最核心的要点。**
**ID**
这个B据我了解没什么事件驱动,就是单纯资金的爆炒,这里把ID单独拿出来,**是想说明另一个核心:牛市炒B要多关注新上线的B种,这种B种还没有被爆炒过,具备炒作价值,其次上线的又是某安**,ID和ARB其实都具备这个属性,大家以后可以多留意。
**OG和JUV**
这两个B种又大幅拉了一波,据传是要做新的模式,我看了那些团队长的视频,的确挺洗脑的,他们定的目标是OG500,哈哈哈。对于这类CX币,我一直都是不参与,我的投资风格就是追求确定性,胆子大想玩的人也一定要注意仓位,不然这种B被套估计就是一辈子了。
**以太坊上海升级会利好那些板块??**
以太坊上海升级(也称为以太坊2.0的第一个主要网络升级)是一个重要的里程碑,它引入了一些重要的改进,包括提高网络的安全性、效率和可扩展性。完成这个升级后,以太坊社区将着手规划下一步发展方向,**以下是可能的一些规划:**
1、继续完善以太坊2.0 以太坊基础设施板块
2、推进去中心化 defi板块
3、加强隐私保护 隐私币板块
4、推广应用程序开发 开发者板块
5、推进可持续性 能源板块
总之,以太坊社区将继续致力于推进以太坊的发展,使其成为更安全、更高效、更可扩展、更去中心化、更私密和更可持续的网络。
**热点推荐**
**短线:**
**未上涨的优质主流和山寨,**轮换行情启动,大家都会涨一遍(除去少有的垃圾),所以B种就是买各个概念的山寨龙头即可,我把我自己配置的供大家参考:ARB\OP\SSV\MAGIC\GNS\LDO,**短线大家一定要有个止盈区间,不要想着拿很久,反弹牛走完之后山寨会比较惨的**
- 2023香港Web3嘉年华一连四天在香港会展中心举行。
4月15日,蚂蚁集团旗下区块链品牌蚂蚁链现身其中,其技术总监闫莺在现场分享了Web3安全技术新进展,包含过去几年蚂蚁链在Web3的身份安全、应用安全和Layer2安全等方向上的积累。
蚂蚁链在国内最早(2015年)开始投入共识协议、智能合约、网络传输、存储、跨链技术等Web3核心技术的研发,专利部署长期位居全球第一
- Bring your Crocs to ETH Tokyo tomorrow
- 送给香港的web3朋友
都是干饭人
去了香港还是要吃点web3特色
#BTC #crypto2023
- Alchemy Pay与离岸人民币稳定币CNHC达成合作以提供支付解决方案。
点评:支付是今年重要叙事,Alchemy Pay近期动作频频,吸引了很多人的目光。可以关注其竞争对手Swipe,或许有机会
- DeFi的机会。近年来区块链行业最激动人心的发展之一是去中心化金融 (DeFi) 的兴起。DeFi 代表了一种新的金融服务思维方式,用户保留对其资产的控制权,交易是透明的,系统在不使用中介的情况下运行
- 🟢 The *Building Blocks* Kit by Sound of Fractures is now live at kits.io/sof. With ethereal layered vocals and unique otherworldly chords, this Kit features:
🎵 60+ innovative loops
🧑🤝🧑 A special Sound of Fractures community collab event
💬 Access to Sound of Fractures's holder chats
✌️ Free claims for Sound of Fractures Sound.xyz holders
To celebrate the new drop, Sound of Fractures is hosting a community collaboration event for one week featuring ALL submissions as part of the Building Blocks Collection on Lens and Beats:
🎼 Mint a copy of the *Building Blocks* Kit
🎹 Create a 30 sec. audio snippet using samples from the pack
🙌 Submit your creation to kits.io/sofsong
All submitted sounds will be featured on a Lens and Beats.xyz leaderboard where you can explore and vote for the best creations. In the spirit of community and collaboration, all submitted sounds will be a part of the Building Blocks collection immortalized on Lens.
Create and share your work by Wednesday, April 12, 2023 12:00 AM (in 7 days) to: https://www.kits.io/packs/building-blocks?utm_id=kits&utm_source=social&utm_medium=lens&utm_campaign=buildingblocks&utm_term=site&utm_content=link&tab=tracks
- Lens signless transactions are now better, faster, stronger!
You can upgrade your signless transactions on @lenster.lens: https://lenster.xyz/settings/dispatcher
Coming on other community-built applications 🔜!
- 2023.4.6今日重点事件汇总如下:
① 09:45 中国3月财新服务业PMI
② 13:45 瑞士3月季调后失业率
③ 14:00 德国2月季调后工业产出月率
④ 14:00 英国3月Halifax季调后房价指数月率
⑤ 19:30 美国3月挑战者企业裁员人数
⑥ 20:30 加拿大3月就业人数
⑦ 20:30 美国至4月1日当周初请失业金人数
⑧ 22:00 美国3月纽约联储全球供应链压力指数
⑨ 22:30 美国至3月31日当周EIA天然气库存
⑩ 次日01:00 美国至4月7日当周石油钻井总数
- 2023.4.5晚8:20
美国3月ADP就业人数 14.5万人,预期20万人,前值24.2万人。
不及预期,就业没有那么强劲,意味着美国经济有衰退风险,加息预期会相应降低,短期利多跟美元对冲的黄金、期货,中长期就有降息刺激经济预期,则利多风险资产!中长线利多美科技股,BTC等加密资产!
- New episode ft. Nick Hollins, a journalist, podcaster, and Co-Founder of @ufoclub.lens. Excited to publish this one and share some unique content for the Lens 🌿 community.
Here are some of the highlights from our conversation. 🧵
1) Nick shared his journalism and music background and how he became interested in crypto and the web3 space. He discussed his involvement in various web3 projects, including his work with Voyager and the UFO project.
2) Additionally, we spoke about the importance of community building and marketing in web3, how writing NFTs have helped Nick build his community, and insights into the unique aspects of writing NFTs compared to other forms of digital content.
3) Nick also explained his mental model for using different web3 platforms and his vision for the future of web3 native audiences. We discussed the potential for web3 to create new opportunities for artists and creators, and how the technology could reshape the creative industries.
Overall, it was a fascinating conversation, def worth a listen.
I hope you guys enjoy it!
🔗 https://open.substack.com/pub/levychain/p/the-rise-of-writing-nfts-and-collectible?
- gm lens frens 🌿
We are excited to announce that we are removing the ".lens" suffix from all usernames in Lenster 🌸, starting today! This will make it easier for you to share and discover users on the platform.
PS: all old URLs will be redirected to the new one 🔗
- gm @lenster.lens 🌸 fam!
We are excited to announce that our @gitcoin.lens Alpha Round for Lenster is now live until January 31st. Your support and donations will help us continue to develop and improve our platform. Thank you for your generosity and for being a part of our community. Let's make Lenster a success together!
https://lenster.xyz/gitcoin
- Your $ARB price prediction ?
I think null.8in the end of this year
$15+ in the mid of next year
- Lenster is becoming more powerful
- ICYMI
- ICYMI
- Create together, earn together 🌿
Creators can now split revenue earned from Collects.
Share earnings with as many as 5 creators. With custom percentage splits.
Collects is among the most popular features on Lens.
We recently added the option to set limited quantities and/or time limits to collectible posts.
We’re excited to offer new ways for collectors to support creators, and for creators to monetize with Collects.
Learn how to implement the Multi recipient Fee Collect Module in our dev docs: https://docs.lens.xyz/docs/create-post-typed-data#multirecipientfeecollectmodule
Start using Splits today on @buttrfly.lens , @lenster.lens & @lenstube.lens - with more soon to come!
-
This week on Lens!
We released Splits for Collects. This feature can be used by creators on @buttrfly , @lenster & @lenstube https://lenster.xyz/posts/0x01-0x0188
🎶 @oohlala adds a Direct Mint feature for Lens Music.
https://lenster.xyz/posts/0x0102fa-0x9f
🥟 You can now use keyboard shortcuts to navigate @dumpling
https://lenster.xyz/posts/0x018d04-0x30
📬 @mailchain enables the use of your .lens domain to send web3 native comms.
https://twitter.com/Mailchain_xyz/status/1631051734713004032?s=20
We loved meeting all the builders at Eth Denver
https://twitter.com/LensProtocol/status/1631739294036660225?s=20
Apoorv Lathey launched an extension to help move your Tweets to Lens https://twitter.com/apoorvlathey/status/1623782881154985984?s=20
Talent Layer is allowing Lens users to go claim a handle on their protocol https://twitter.com/kirstenrpomales/status/1631058530831572993?s=20
@orbapp created an ETH Denver community area in Orb, which now boasts a whopping 15k members! https://lenster.xyz/posts/0xbbb9-0x01e9. If you are building on Lens to help communities at future events we would love to see your work!
The Eth Denver Hackathon Winners were announced, watch this space for these innovative projects built on Lens https://lenster.xyz/posts/0x01-0x0186
@defidad got the scoop on scaling with ZK rollups from @Stani.lens https://lenster.xyz/posts/0x2e09-0xc2
@nader shared the origins and the ecosystem of Lens at Eth Denver and gave a live demo of a Lens app built in five mins https://youtu.be/GkogXPCIn5E?t=58
telliesite created some cool tutorials on how to integrate Lens Share and Follow buttons. https://tell.ie/learn/lens
Ready to build your own video app? Check out Suhail Kakar's tutorial on building with Lens!
https://twitter.com/SuhailKakar/status/1630956913096572930?s=20
Lens & Frens SF meetup https://twitter.com/Thehouseofweb3/status/1633666296851369990?s=20
If you attended Eth Denver and hold the general access pass #1,854, you are now eligible to claim a Lens profile https://lenster.xyz/posts/0x01-0x018b
For all our NFT Paris frens that scanned the Lens POAP at our gallery, you can now claim your Lens profile. https://twitter.com/LensProtocol/status/1630573876165083136?s=20
Discover more of what's being built in the Lensverse https://lens.xyz/apps @nader and @fabri are here to help!
- This is Lenny
- This is Lenny
- https://open.spotify.com/track/1QXc3ywVpbXzw2OJAiy45L?si=wbySB5vTRDyuMIOc0tTpKA
Walk on your side / 上田麗奈
作詞:松井洋平
作曲・編曲:⽥中秀和(MONACA)
Drums:金川卓矢
Bass:小栢伸五
Guitar:堀崎翔
Piano:伊賀拓郎
Strings:今野均ストリングス
Programming & All Other Instruments:田中秀和(MONACA)
- She name is Yuzu🐕✨
Names similar to this juice🥤💕
- She name is Yuzu🐕✨
Names similar to this juice🥤💕
- sleep won't give you money
- When you look at my Lenstube channel, do you see issues with the Bytes? I'm not sure why but clearly they're uploaded and being seen, and I'm pretty sure formatted correctly as 1080x1920.
They are showing up properly AFAIK on Orb and Phaver, but appreciate any help/feedback.
- GM
- 🙋♂️✌ Here is another of my songs,
"They didnt mean to hurt you, but they know when they are being hurt."
That's the sense of this song called "Tous ceux" (All of them)
🙏🤍
- Since some people have been wl for @lensprotocol.lens at NFT Paris, what about creating a community on @orbapp.lens to connect with NFT Paris community 🔥
wl info : https://twitter.com/LensProtocol/status/1630573876165083136
- Finally I will meet her---my love
- so far so good #lens
- Love doesn't walk away,people do.
- Happiness can be found,even in the darkest of times,if one remembers turn on the light.
- I have this weird self esteem problem where I hate myself yet,I still think I'm better than everyone.
- When I am not near the girl I love, I love the girl I near.
- Don't cry because it is over, smile because it happened.
- It take courage to grow up and turn out to be who you really are.
- What doesn’t kill me makes me stronger.
- If love is the representative of the happiness, that what is happiness.
- When I am not near the girl I love, I love the girl I near.
- How do you pass your weekend usually?
- $lens incoming!
- $lens incoming!
- 最近真的很快乐 希望能持续下去
- 看完三体 我想说:世界属于三体!!!
- It can be easy to look around and see that this truly is a wild world, but we must remember to always nurture that spark of positivity and keep smiling.
- getting started (하나)
- gotta go back to school!